Ohio State No. 1 in College Football Playoff rankings; Georgia, Michigan, FSU round out top 4
Ohio State, Georgia, Michigan, FSU take top spots
The first College Football Playoff rankings for the 2023 season were released Tuesday. Here’s what you need to know:
- Ohio State, Georgia, Michigan and Florida State round out the top four, respectively.
- Washington and Oregon are on the outside looking in as the fifth and sixth spots. The Huskies are coming off two single-digit wins over unranked teams in Arizona State and Stanford.
- The Ducks (7-1) are the only team in the top six with a loss, a 36-33 defeat to Washington on Oct. 14. Oregon has a tough final stretch with two of its final four matchups against ranked opponents.
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What we learned from Tuesday night
The College Football Playoff committee released its first rankings of the season last night. Here are the top four (all four are 8-0):
- Ohio State
- Georgia
- Michigan
- Florida State
The first two out? No. 5 Washington (8-0) and No. 6 Oregon (7-1).
What’s surprising? I’m not surprised to see Ohio State at No. 1. It has two of the strongest wins of any team, against No. 11 Penn State (7-1) and No. 15 Notre Dame (7-2). What does surprise me is Michigan at No. 3, ahead of Florida State. The Seminoles have a win against No. 14 LSU (6-2). The Ohio State ranking feels like the committee was leaning heavily on schedule strength, but that’s not reflected by putting Michigan, with a schedule strength at No. 111, ahead of FSU. And for that matter, maybe Washington deserves more credit for its win against the committee’s No. 6 team.
What to know from ESPN’s interview with committee chair Boo Corrigan:
Ohio State’s two top-15 wins gave it the biggest boost to No. 1. Corrigan pointed to the Buckeyes’ top-five defense and key difference-makers on offense (Marvin Harrison Jr. and TreVeyon Henderson).
Michigan’s two-sided dominance helped the Wolverines pass the eye test. Despite criticism of the Wolverines’ schedule, Corrigan pointed to their four wins against plus-.500 teams as a factor. As for whether the sign-stealing and in-person scouting allegations against Michigan came into play, Corrigan said: “Our job as we look at it is to rank the teams to follow our protocols, and as we went through it, that really wasn’t part of any of our discussions during our time together.”
Oklahoma debuted at No. 9, two spots behind Texas, which it beat. Sandwiched in between is Alabama, which lost to Texas. Head-to-head is “really important,” Corrigan said, and Texas came out on top of this trio thanks to its win in Tuscaloosa and because of Oklahoma’s loss to No. 21 Kansas (6-2). 🤔
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JMU not eligibile
FYI: James Madison is not eligible for the CFP rankings since it's not eligible for the CFP games (even if they get in a bowl without enough 6-6 teams)
Don't miss The Athletic's Nicole Auerbach and Chris Vannini discussing College Football Playoff's first rankings.
What would a 12-team field look like after first Top 25?
The season’s first College Football Playoff Top 25 rankings were unveiled Tuesday night, marking the official start of the stretch run that determines the four-team bracket.
Next year, the 12-team CFP will make its debut. Each week for the rest of the season, The Athletic will illustrate how the new format is going to work, using the CFP committee’s latest rankings.
Here’s how the bracket would be seeded and the site locations determined using the committee’s Oct. 31 rankings and the CFP’s previously announced 2024-25 game dates.
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Boo Corrigan on Michigan allegations
Committee chairman Boo Corrigan when asked if Michigan sign-stealing practices and in-person scouting allegations came into play.
“Our job as we look at it is to rank the teams to follow our protocols and as we went through it that really wasn't part of any of our discussions during our time together,” Corrigan said. “It’s an NCAA issue. It’s not a CFP issue.”
SEC teams in the CFB playoff rankings
2. Georgia
8. Alabama
10. Ole Miss
12. Missouri
14. LSU
17. Tennessee
Strength of schedule and lack of quality wins dinged Georgia in the initial rankings but can be rectified with three consecutive wins over Top-20 teams: Missouri, Ole Miss and Tennessee.
The Alabama-LSU matchup looms large Saturday. If the Crimson Tide win then there's a legit case for the best resume of the one-loss teams with wins over Ole Miss, LSU and Tennessee.
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Ranking 133 college football teams after Week 9
As I predicted, my 133 rankings are a lot closer to the CFP top four than the polls.
Only difference is I had FSU and Michigan flipped. I had the same 5/6, as well.
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Disrespecting the Dawgs?
Admittedly, Kirby Smart probably has conducted a psyop to convince his players that the majority of the CFB media thought Georgia would go 5 to 7 this season.
But still, it's worth noting the two-time national champions have been downgraded to No. 2 in the initial CFP rankings, when you consider they have been steadfastly holding the top spot in both the AP and coaches polls.
What’s surprising?
I’m not surprised to see a change at No. 1. Ohio State has two of the strongest wins of any team against Notre Dame and Penn State. I had the Buckeyes there before Georgia beat Florida.
What does surprise me is Michigan at No. 3, ahead of Florida State. The Seminoles have the next-best wins against LSU and Duke. The Ohio State ranking feels like the committee was leaning heavily on schedule strength, but that’s not reflected by putting Michigan ahead of FSU.
And for that matter, maybe Washington deserves an extra boost for its win against the committee’s No. 7 team. That’s the best win of any team based on the rankings.
Biggest gainer right now?
Oklahoma State is in at No. 22. The Cowboys haven't been ranked in the AP poll this season but have wins against two other CFP-ranked teams in Kansas State and Kansas.
Context for rankings
The No. 1 team in the initial College Football Playoff rankings has gone on to win the national title only twice in nine years: Alabama in 2020 and Georgia in 2021.
The first CFP No. 1 has made the Playoff in seven of nine years, the exceptions being Mississippi State in 2014 and Tennessee in 2022.
The first CFP national champion, 2014 Ohio State, was 16th in the initial rankings. All eight national champions since then have been ranked No. 4 or better in the initial CFP Top 25.
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The first top four!
The first College Football Playoff committee top four rankings of the season are set:
- Ohio State
- Georgia
- Michigan
- Florida State
Those four are followed by Washington and Oregon.
So the two-time defending champion Georgia Bulldogs are not No. 1. That's a surprise. I thought Georgia would get the benefit of the doubt, especially coming off its dominant rivalry win over Florida on Saturday.
Ohio State (8-0) travels to Rutgers at Noon on Saturday (CBS).
Georgia (8-0) hosts Missouri at 3:30 p.m. on CBS.
Michigan (8-0) hosts Purdue at 7:30 p.m. on NBC.
Florida State (8-0) travels to Pittsburgh at 3:30 p.m. on ESPN.
The difficulties of transitive wins and losses
Texas is ahead of Alabama, because they beat Alabama. But not so with Oklahoma.
If Texas has the best win of the year (according to Kirk Herbstreit) because they beat Alabama, where does that leave the Sooners?
Not a fan of Texas ahead of Oklahoma
Oklahoma behind Texas is silly. Head to head with the same number of wins at this point in the season should matter.
Penn State left out of top 10
The Nittany Lions were No. 9 in the AP poll this week but debuted at No. 11 in the committee's ranking. In their place? Ole Miss is in at No. 10.
The selection committee has announced rankings from No. 11 to 25.
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Keep an eye on
Alabama. Even with the loss to Texas, the Crimson Tide are 7-1 and have a path forward if they can win out and win the SEC championship. This week will be a big test against LSU. But after this matchup with the Tigers, Alabama closes out the regular season against Kentucky, Chattanooga and Auburn.
Those are three winnable games, that coupled with a win over LSU, would perhaps change the way we think about Nick Saban's squad.
This season's most disappointing team is ...
USC. The Trojans entered the season with the reigning Heisman Trophy winner and Playoff aspirations. But at 7-2, those hopes are almost certainly dashed, and if not for a wild fourth-quarter comeback against Cal on Saturday, they would be in a free-fall.
USC is still very much alive in the Pac-12 race courtesy of one of those two losses coming against Notre Dame, but based on how the Trojans have played the past few weeks, they don’t look to be the class of that league. Saturday’s showdown with Washington will be an opportunity to prove otherwise.
This season's most surprising team so far
Having left them out of my top four, let me now give a poor consolation prize to the Huskies: They continuously surprise me. This can be in good ways, like watching Michael Penix Jr. go to town with his Three Musketeers, accomplishing feats of aerial derring-do. It can be surprising in bad ways, like watching rapt as that same offense looks like an interminable car wreck against Arizona State. The variance from game to game is stark, leaving me unmoored from week-to-week.